[vajimbo]

Hmmm. Faulty “scientific-sounding probabilistic models”. Those folks either came from, or have a future with the climate change wackos.

[Political Junkie Too]

The thing is, the probabilistic models like Nate Silver's at 538 are not polls, they are analysis based on the polling data. I stopped reporting my probabilistic results because I had a strong feeling that the polls were faulty; Silver had to stick with what he created because his reputation was too established. His formulas were correct, but his input polling data was flawed.

-PJ