Storm Forums are saying that the eye is beginning another Eye-Wall Replacement Cycle (EWRC) and may become 60 to 70 miles wide.
Following the storm track forums this morning it seems that the eye is approaching NC coast just south of Wilmington, NC with all the NC coast taking the “dirty side”. The problem is that the majority of the computer models all show movement slowing as it reaches that point south of Wilmington.
Reading through about fifty posts on those forums the storm slows and in some models goes inland at Myrtle Beach, SC, some it stays with the eye-wall just off shore and rakes the whole SC coast coming in finally south of Savannah, Georgia.
This slowing as it approaches landfall is very problematic as since there is no big steering trough of pressure, it just sits and churns and we won’t know where it is going until the damage there has already begun. It may be dumping torrential rains in the Appalachians five days from now on Monday and Tuesday after flooding the entire coast.
I apologize for the alarmist type wording — but that is what I am reading. Could be TS damage in Florida after south OBX getting hammered — that’s how big and nasty this may be.
You look at the track, and it takes the storm over the Appalachian Mts. It’s going to scrape the moisture out of the storm and send it back to the sea. This is going to hammer, like, six states?
If it sits off the coast and dumps a foot of rain, and then another foot comes down off the mountains?
Man. Not good.
Which way do you run? North or south?