Posted on 09/06/2018 5:38:53 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
The Brown poll is the result of Renacci slowly getting his name rec up. He’s over 50% now. When he gets to be 80%, it’s over.
Again, my OH guys did an amazing analysis of the so-called “unaffiliated” voters in OH. The SecState has GOP at +600,000 registration, but there were a huge number of “unaffiliated” voters (Not truly “independents,” but Ds or Rs who didn’t vote in the previous election.
My friends conducted a serious research into how households voted going back to 2000, and were able to use sample districts to extrapolate from Montgomery County to the whole state.
The result was that the GENUINE Republican advantage is only 300,000-—but that’s after allocating ALL but about 1,000 of the unaffiliated voters. It means that using a “high turnout” model . . .
Rs win, Ds lose any statewide race.
Using a “low turnout” model . . .
Rs win, Ds lose.
The only scenario in which the Ds could win statewide OH races was with a high D turnout and a low R turnout.
Increasingly, I think DeWine wins by 5-6 and Renacci ekes out a win.
The more Obama, Michelle, Hillary, Nanzi and Maxine campaign, the higher Trump’s numbers will go.
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