I will repost from the dead thread from yesterday...
everything is on track ..Lane waekening due to shear...but already over a foot of Rain on the big island
_____repost_________________________________
this is very concerning...the main factor being huge amounts of rain and mudslides
if one looks at google Maps of Honolulu area for example...there are many homes built in valleys, slopes and runoff areas...
some notes:
1) this is the closest a CAT 5 has gotten to the Islands in recorded history...it will weaken but not the rainfall
2) The track is just SW of the Islands..this puts the islands on the dirty right side....also increasing SW shear will push the convection to the NE of center
3) any SE facing slopes will enhance any rainfall
4) Lane will leave a train of highly anomalous moisture in its wake...which will cause heavy rain to fall well after it passes
5) there are 1.4 million people on the Islands but only room for something like 300,000 people in shelters
**THIS MAY BE THE WORST MODERN NATURAL DISASTER IN HAWAIIAN HISTORY ****
Bump.
see post #58
**THIS MAY BE THE WORST MODERN NATURAL DISASTER IN HAWAIIAN HISTORY ****
If so the politicization of it from the Dems will be equally epic.