The 2018 elections: Will it be a Blue Wave or a Red Ripple?

NJ.com ^ | August 12,2018 | Mulshine

[Hojczyk]

Actually, one guy did. That's Bergen County pollster Raghavan Mayur.

I called Mayur to get his view on how the Congressional elections will turn out this year. It's tough to predict, he said, because this isn't one race. It's 435 individual House races and 35 individual Senate races.

Traditionally, the party holding the White House loses an average of 30 House and four Senate seats in a midterm.

That makes this an uphill battle for the Republicans, but "This is going to be a good fight," Mayur said.

The Democrats still haven't come to terms with the way in which such positions help Trump score with blue-collar voters, he said.

"One thing about Trump is that he cuts across party lines," he said. "It's a new phenomenon the Democrats are facing. Historically they could rely on the union vote but this is a kind of a new dynamic."

Mayur said the biggest factor is likely to be whether Trump commits himself to a busy schedule of those rallies to which he can attract 30,000 or so voters at a clip. He's already scheduled a few.

It may be too early to predict how this will turn out, but there's one thing that I will predict: This promises to be a real nail-biter, at least on the House side. The Senate is likely to stay Republican, but if the Democrats get that traditional 30-seat swing they will control the House.

However, if they pick up 24 seats or fewer, the GOP retains control.

Who will win? Maybe I'll go back and ask the lady who runs the farm stand.

Her guess is as good as anybody's.

[central_va]

Let the unnecessary hand wringing begin.

[AustinBill]

The DoJ/FBI housecleaning has been going on for some time and is nearly complete. What we can expect following the midterms, the seating of the new Congress, and Kavanaugh’s confirmation to SCOTUS is the start of treason charges and military tribunals. Trump is going to break the deep state completely well in advance of the 2020 elections. 2019 is going to be a year of reckoning for many.

[catnipman]

“The DoJ/FBI housecleaning has been going on for some time and is nearly complete.”

hardly. rosenstein, mueller, and ohr are still there ...possibly Sessions himself ... and no doubt a bunch more we don’t even know about ...

i don’t see what military tribunals have to do with any of that either ...

[lizma2]

I agree with you 100% and then some.

Do they look at them to see if they both for candidate A, do they throw one out?
If one is for candidate A the other B, do they look at the persons party affiliation and just use that one that matches? (Not perfect but that sounds more fair.)

What a farce. Voter ID should have been fixed decades ago. This exactly why the left can now push for open boarders.

I’m in The Peoples Republic of Maryland, MoCo. Pretty much hopeless here with all the government employees. (Not much different than Fairfax.)

Was very active when I lived in P.G. and asked to consider being precinct captain here but my kids were tiny and I got active in the school board.

Thanks for trying in Fairfax.