(Atlanta) – The Trafalgar Group (TFG) released its first West Virgina U.S. Senate general election poll today. TFG, recognized for having the most accurate polling in the 2016 battleground states and Electoral College projection, conducted the poll from July 13th through July 16th. The poll measures West Virginia voters’ support for candidates in the US Senate election, and how that support would change if Senator Manchin votes for or against President Donald Trump’s Supreme Court pick, Brett Kavanaugh.
TFG conducted this survey of 1158 respondents from a random stratified selection of likely 2018 general election voters. The margin of error is +/- 2.88. The results were:
49.9% Joe Manchin (D)
39.5% Patrick Morrisey (R)
2.3% Rusty Hollen (L)
8.3% Undecided
If Joe Manchin votes for Kavanaugh:
58.7% Joe Manchin (D)
30.1% Patrick Morrisey (R)
2.2% Rusty Hollen (L)
8.1% Undecided
If Joe Manchin votes against Kavanaugh:
46.5% Joe Manchin (D)
44.6% Patrick Morrisey (R)
2.3% Rusty Hollen (L)
6.7% Undecided
That is very interesting