The it's gonna happen races:
Arizona Stays GOP.
Florida: Nelson OUT; GOP pickup
Indiana: Donnelly OUT; GOP pickup
Missouri: McCaskill OUT; GOP pickup
Nevada: Heller out; dem pickup (too many migrant Califronicators and illegals in Lost Wages)
North Dakota: Heitkamp OUT; GOP pickup
West Va: Manchin OUT; GOP pickup
Tennessee: Stays GOP
The likely to be GOP if Trump holds strong and campaigns and rallies hard:
Montana: Tester OUT; GOP pickup
Ohio: Brown OUT; GOP Pickup
Michigan: Stabinow OUT; GOP pickup
I think you’re being a bit optimistic on about five of those.
Oh, and West Virginia depends on who wins tomorrow. If it’s Blakenship then Manchin can sign a six year lease on D.C. property.