“And as Sabato say ( no I am not a fan of his ) add 10% to that.
Think about it. President Trump is more like at 61% approval rating, it is Dem oversampling and Fake News Bias.”
The other thing that we should be considering, is the likelihood that by election time, Trump’s poll numbers will be ten points higher. I don’t think that the RATs can overcome a President who has real poll numbers that are approaching 70%!
... and that same ABC/Washington Post poll has the generic congressional ballot at dems +4.
Leftist Quinnipiac has it at dems +3 and Rasmussen has it at dems+5
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html
Now even dnc Larry Sabato has said that the idiot dems have to be north of +6 in the generic congressional ballot in order to have any realistic chance of taking the House.