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To: ek_hornbeck; usmom; edh

Cook Report rates Wisconsin one as inherently R+5. Currently generic Democrat holds about an 8 point lead, which would put the seat at risk, though with Ryan running, having won since 98, it was seen as unlikely. The district went 52-42 for Trump and 52-47 for Romney/Ryan.

Sabato’s Crystal Ball had the district likely Republican, but has moved it to toss-up with Ryan’s retirement.

Likely Democrat candidate is Randy Bryce, Army vet, ironworker and union organizer, has apparently already raised 4.5 million for his campaign ... another source claims he has 2.3 million “on hand” at the end of March.

Possible Republican challengers are WI Assembly Speaker Robin Vos, or State Senators Van Wangaard or Steve Nass. Of course, Paul Nehlen as well.

Sources:
https://www.vox.com/2018/4/11/17223982/randy-bryce-ironstache-paul-ryan-challenger-2018-midterms

https://cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/wisconsin-house/ryan-retirement-puts-wi-01-risk-and-throws-house-gop-deeper-turmoil


54 posted on 04/11/2018 3:30:50 PM PDT by Taipei
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To: Taipei

Good info. Thanks. Right now apparently the Dem running is a bit of a kook, but now that Ryan isn’t running and they feel they have more of a chance, they might throw their money and resources at a more electable candidate.


55 posted on 04/11/2018 5:01:55 PM PDT by usmom
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