Cutting ‘Old Heads’ at IBM [illegally replaces aged with foreigners]

That is not true. The fact of the matter is that big integrators ie companies like IBM services, DXC etc. that get money integrating or managing other companies systems are going to die.

The reason is the increasing value of putting stuff on the cloud and paying Amazon or Google or Microsoft to manage your servers en masse.

And why do I want to pay a company to integrate SAP data with Oracle etc. when I can have business analyssts who know Azure or AWS and can connect the boxes (we're not there yet, but close)

I predict that the big services companies will die by 2020 and be replaced by multiple smaller companies that are of two kinds:

local, on-hands consultants (body shops you can say) who have a close relationship with the customers and work in a devops kind of mode. This may include business systems analysts - those who can build the blocks of different apps on the cloud together for the client
Guru level develoeprs who will create COMponents on the cloud or will maintain data centers

Great post - I think you are right on. The dinosaurs can’t compete using their existing business models. Any group of experienced local consultants should be able to run rings around them.

I wish I could call myself a visionary to have said that, but what I wrote is what I see happening right now

There is this large FMCG company that nearly 15 years ago sold off its technology dev + support to a large American outsourcer

Thigns soon broke down as people didn't want to treat their former colleagues as customers

nimbler companies (including one I worked for) tore off pieces of business

Then cloud computing came in and a massive chunk of support died. Then the fad for devops and more of the outsourcers work died

Then the outsourcer split into three companies and the services dinosaur merged with another services dinosaur - to the detriment of the customer

Now the merged dinosaur doesn't do anything but cut headcount and show "great numbers" to the financial analysts. Meanwhile the CEO sells off chunks of his stocks to make million$$

Have you thought to work on Guru.com or elancer? Or getting out of IT altogether? I hope to finally have paid off my mortgage this year and having enough nest egg to “retire” ie have enough savings so I can survive on small jobs here and there. But still would liek to set up my own business, just no idea what (or rather too many ideas but not settled on any)

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.