Posted on 03/08/2018 8:20:09 AM PST by Republic Rocker
President Trump's national approval rating is still historically low — 39.8 percent in the RealClearPolitics average and 40.2 percent at FiveThirtyEight — but "as state-by-state polling of Trump's approval rating shows, the national mood really isn't so national," Nathaniel Rakich notes at FiveThirtyEight. "Voters in different corners of the country differ in how deep their anger runs — and at whom it's directed. ... To take control of the Senate, it doesn't much matter how Democrats perform elsewhere if they can't win both Nevada and Arizona and defend red-state Democrats in places like Missouri and Indiana." According to a new poll by Axios and SurveyMonkey, that could be very difficult for Democrats to pull off.
There are 25 Democrat Senate Seats up for re-election this November. That's more than half their total Caucus in the Senate.
The likelihood they're going to keep all 25? Not likely. They're in trouble in Indiana for example, and it gets worse for them in states that Trump won in 2016 - especially out West.
If anything, I'll predict right now the Senate will see MORE Republicans after the November 2018 election than now.
The GOP will pick up seats in the House and Senate. There is no blue wave. The Demo rats are in disarray.
Arizona is in huge trouble and needs to remedy it ASAP if possible.
Kristensp? Sinema is the Dem pick. She is a true Dem loon, but clever as Trump's snake. She just introduced snakish legislation to punish primarily the Sinaloa drug cartel. It is a brilliant move. Protect the country from foreign criminals, but let in all illegals can get behind the scenes seems to be her ploy.
Her record demonstrates this type of approach. Give the Pubs the unimportant, but the Dems the real power.
The Republicans have been divided by Flakes retirement into to RINO camp supporting squishy McSally and the Conservative supporting Kelli Ward.
McSally is not acceptable, but is slowly morphing from RINO to more conservative. She may pull it off. But she will not win against Sinema most likely.
Ward also has loony things in her background.
They are already the stuff of yet to be aired campaign ads no doubt.She is conservative, but will probably have a harder time winning than McSally.
Conservatives best chance IMHO is to go after Sinema now; to get out front with Ward's little loonies and defend her now.
Then get out and let Arizonans know what Trump has done for them and why Kelli Ward will support him and Arizonans best.
Better Hurry Arizona conservatives. The “Force” in the party is not for you. Or Trump. Or Ward.
Sure
Just add 10 points to republicans to whatever the parrots say
Than you’re in the ballpark
Hopefully trumps voting initiative will cut into the vast demoncrap cheating as well
Indiana is another one. It is a primary between two men who absolutely hate each other - Luke Messer and Todd Rokita. One or the other is going to be the winner and the loser won’t be running to patch things up and make nice. In the mean time, Donnelly is flying under the radar acting like a moderate.
Wrong. Baris has Scott up by 2 in FL.
Baris is almost always right. So far, since mid 2015, I can’t find that he’s missed a race, and usually has them down to the decimal. He’s that good.
Scott will beat Nelson easily. The voter registration advantages in AZ and changes in OH and FL also strengthen Rs.
I’m on record for a 5-7 senate gain, including (depending on what happens with Wicker and McTurd seats) a gain of 4-6 Trumpers.
My voter reg changes say 5-7 Senate, 1-2 R gain in House.
The issue is WHO are those senators-—McSally in AZ? We COULD see 4-6 Trumpers come in with the right candidates.
The poll in Axios that this story is referencing has him down by 10 - Link
I’m on record for a 5-7 senate gain, including (depending on what happens with Wicker and McTurd seats) a gain of 4-6 Trumpers.
I will note that down.
If we get a decent candidate we should win easily.
Axios very bad. Course, we learned that in 16 didn’t we? Or did we?
Keep in mind my voter registration changes. WHATEVER the split was in 16 is now wrong. It’s even WORSE for Ds than just 14 months ago.
Yet Axios and the fake news pollsters are still using 2012 (!!) data. Do you realize that since 12, PA has lost 250,000 Ds? I saw this in OH in 16, when Cuyahoga Co. lost 93,000 off its rolls and I knew in early 16 that Trump would win OH. Now MI is taking 150k off their rolls? Wanna bet more than 2/3 are Ds?
FL has seen the GOP gain an average of 6,000 per month EVERY month since November 2016, now net gain of 62,000. By November, that number will be over 100,000 net additional Rs.
Agreed!
The Dems are hoping to run against more candidates from the O’Donnell/Akin/Jones axis of losers.
The Dems are hoping to run against more candidates from the O’Donnell/Akin/Moore axis of losers.
That's true in every election. Yet we seem to keep coming up with the Akin's and Mourdock's and O'Donnell's and Angle's of the world.
Senate was never in play... GOP will almost certainly GAIN a significant number of seats in the Senate in the mid terms, just the most basic understanding of the map of seats up shows this.
House is a different beast, but any one telling you the Dems will take the Senate, is flat out LYING to you, or is frankly so stupid they should likely be placed back into middle school
If the republicans pass one letter of gun control in any way shape or form they can kiss the mid terms goodbye.
Pre-cisely. Scott is trying to run LEFT of the skull Bill Nelson— as fake a dem wash my hair Shulz supporter like him.
Scott’s “consultants” do not get the Trump effect in FL nor do they understand THOSE demographics.
Nelson is a mental cypher— zip nada, knee jerk. And scott is being told to run left of this moron— and, no surprise Nelson is up by 10 by the “dem machine” flippers who would NOT vote for him.... given a “conservative” GUN OWNING choice. Scott runs ultra right, family vallues against Nelson..... score! Watch him snatch defeat from a supremacy point of power in FL including the legislature— what a maroon. Thinks it’s like a hospital administrator meeting.
Not if they keep talking gun control. FL has evidently passed a bump stock ban and other gun control that is heading to the gov for signature. Washington state has passed bump stock ban.
Keep it up and watch every last one of the leads and advantages disappear before the mid terms.
Backing Trump and starting to purge the RINOs (without giving the Congress away out of spite) is the straightest path to a hugh and series chunk of what we want....
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