My opinion - Trump has an excellent chance to be reelected in 2020, but only because he is Trump. No other Republican can win a national election.
I am an immigration hawk, and immigration has been my top issue since Bush and McCain tried to stuff Amnesty down our throats in 2005-2008.
In my opinion, Trump has always been an immigration dove, except for violent illegals. In 2015, I predicted he would postpone most major immigration decisions until he was reelected in 2020. Then, I predicted Trump would push a Bush-McCain Amnesty on us in 2021.
However, in my opinion, it looks like rank and file Republican opposition to Amnesty and Massive Legal Immigration has completely collapsed in 2018.
Consequently, I think we will get Amnesty in 2018, in exchange for a bunch of new tough-talk immigration laws that will never be enforced.
Depressing analysis. I’ll keep hoping for a while.
In my dream world, this immigration is passed, Trump’s people win big in 2018, and pass another law that tightens the immigration security that was left loose now. And in the meantime, Trump has already built the wall, so that they can’t stop the building. And he’s under budget!