He had a reasonable shot before the tax bill.
Yes, he was walking a razor thin margin. But the demographics have not changed that much in the 14+ months since his last election.
He has the biggest advantage in politics: Incumbency. And Money.
Horseshit.
I live here. The demographics HAVE changed significantly since his last election. I see the change every single day.
Yes, I know you lost your deduction(s). Looking at it aside from your personal bias, I disagree entirely with your premise.