again I simply point to 2000 and 2007. At this point I will agree to disagree
So 2000 and 2007 were predictions by some seer?
It is an indisputable fact that the market moves on earnings.
If you accept that, as you must, than anyone who could look at you and predict down the road what earnings will be is doing nothing more than guessing. And you know the saying, even a stopped clock is right twice a day.