We’re not talking about federal expenditure, we’re talking about tax payments.
Different subject.
Not to mention those numbers your trying to use are bogus numbers with lots of bias in them, such as claiming a State gets money back if the money is spent on the military within their State.
Those are the governments numbers, take it up with them.
These loss of tax deductions on states like NY, NJ, CT will result in an influx into Florida by more liberals than conservatives and Florida will turn blue.
Not to mention equally high tax states like newly turned Red states like Wisconsin & Michigan May go back to blue as well