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Posted on 09/16/2017 5:47:46 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Jose has been hanging around, waiting for attention in the wake of Hurricane Irma. Newcomer Maria threatens to impact the Caribbean Islands already devastated by Hurricane Irma, and brushed by Jose. Hurricane Jose threatens to brush or impact New England. Lee appears to be a fish storm at this time.
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| Public Advisories | Public Advisories |
| Forecast Discussions | Forecast Discussions |
Horrible verging on deadly? Suggest you order a bunch of new stuff from Amazon right away. They have all kinds of food, nice and clean.
Very sad to hear of the persistent problems following Houston area flooding. Let us know how AMZ works out for your sister. FL has experienced issues with timely AMZ non-food deliveries before and after Irma.
How old is that satellite image? Sat floater images illustrate the eyewall upon Dominica.
Bttt
Wow.
I wonder if that is a "coincidence." So, a superstorm may hit NYC during the United Nations "Peace and Security" conference, where they will attempt to divide Israel.
When they say, "Peace and security," then sudden destruction comes on them, like labor pains come on a pregnant woman, and they will not escape.
1 Thessalonians 5:3
radar showing landfall with a left hook...the plane didn’t get there in time to measure the NE quad
190MPH winds found 500 feet above sea level in the NW quad earlier
the island has elevation up to 3500 ft I think
Sobering.
this is going to be really bad...since thing took most people by surprise
radio just went down but people calling in saying roofs coming off and damage at the hospital in the Capital..and that was before the eye wall
72,000 people just got hit by a CAT 5.....with other poor structures
Ha! Yes! Very knowledgeable weather geeks. I don’t know the half of what they are talking about, but I do know how to pray, and boy, I know what you mean by feeling sick. They have a gorgeous photo of the island posted now, and for whatever reason, their radio stations are still able to broadcast. Those poor people; thank you again.
From a radio station in the capital of Roseau, anecdotal and unconfirmed reports of roofs coming off buildings. Also that hospital getting hit hard.
Last NHC update (but still “old” info. in some regards):
ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Hurricane Maria Special Discussion Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
800 PM AST Mon Sep 18 2017
This special advisory is being issued to increase the initial and
forecast intensity of Maria.
Recent reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that Maria continues to rapidly strengthen. The aircraft
measured SFMR winds of 139 kt in the northwest eyewall and an
estimated minimum pressure of 925 mb, based on dropsonde data.
Based on these observations, the initial intensity of Maria has
been increased to 140 kt, making Maria a potentially catastrophic
category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
Some additional strengthening is possible during the next 24
hours, but fluctuations in intensity are likely due to eyewall
cycles and land interaction.
No change was made to the previous track forecast, and the
extremely dangerous core of Maria is expected to pass over Dominica
within the next hour or two.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. Maria will affect portions of the Leeward Islands and the British
and U.S. Virgin Islands as an extremely dangerous major hurricane
during the next couple of days, and hurricane warnings are in effect
for many of these islands.
2. Maria is likely to affect Puerto Rico as an extremely dangerous
major hurricane, and a hurricane warning has been issued for that
island.
3. The potential for a life-threatening storm surge, accompanied by
large and destructive waves, has increased for the Leeward Islands,
the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico.
4. Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides from heavy rainfall
are expected across the Leeward Islands, including Puerto Rico and
the U.S. and British Virgin Islands.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 19/0000Z 15.3N 61.1W 140 KT 160 MPH
12H 19/0600Z 15.7N 61.9W 145 KT 165 MPH
24H 19/1800Z 16.5N 63.3W 145 KT 165 MPH
36H 20/0600Z 17.3N 64.7W 140 KT 160 MPH
48H 20/1800Z 18.2N 66.2W 130 KT 150 MPH
72H 21/1800Z 20.0N 69.0W 125 KT 145 MPH
96H 22/1800Z 22.0N 71.5W 120 KT 140 MPH
120H 23/1800Z 25.0N 73.0W 105 KT 120 MPH
$$
Forecaster Brown
NNNN
It’s much more scary to go through the worst part of the storm at night. A cat three is bad enough... I can’t even imagine a cat 5. Must be horrifying.
I thought it was new. I guess not. post showed 7m.
Wow, radio station advising people in buildings with roofs torn off to try to get into interior rooms. “Cat 5 unexpected...”
Considering it was a Cat 3 5 hours ago...yeah I think unexpected is accurate. Eeesh.
That old stone fort looks like a good place to hunker down for the storm.
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