Oh, agreed, but how much and from how far away?
What I think we are seeing tonight is a “wobble”, south, and then back north, and the real effect of the trough (a strong turn that is maintained) is still some hours away. But, that’s just my guess. I believe there are some upper level westerly’s in the equation, too.
If Irma determinedly begins to curve north now, oh, golly...
The fact that the storm has slowed down means the steering currents from the Atlantic high that have driven it westward so far have weakened. So now it is close to sitting in place waiting for the next weather system to pick it up, namely shortwave troughs coming in from the Northwest. All the models see that, it now is just a matter of where and when.
All:
Live cam.....(North Bay Village Inlet) North Miami.....Night now so all the dark showing is water...tomorrow that will be very clear and good visual of land and water...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aZTcZFCkdWw
Live cam...North Miami...Viewpoint is ‘from the 3rd floor’ of building, located near NE 135th Street and Biscayne Boulevard...stream will remain live until the storm passes or power is lost. Good visual because you see the street and the sky.....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Hr98YWD3l0