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To: NautiNurse

just darn


16 posted on 09/04/2017 2:11:06 PM PDT by WorkerbeeCitizen
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To: All

from the other thread

Upper level outflow is EXCELLENT...water temps 86-88F ahead of it..warm water is very Deep too..no dry air around

The storm will grow in size too....

At this time worst case is being predicted by the models staying offshore of Cuba and then taking a SHARP north turn .....this would put the major cities on the east coast in the front eye wall ...

nightmare scenario .....I’m sure the path will change but very disturbing..this better go east and stay just offshore like Mathew did last year


FL coast would mean the entire SE coast of Florida would get the right front eyewall which is the strongest part....huge population centers

if the storm came into FL like an Andrew from due east the right the eye wall would only affect a very small portion as it moves inland ...but because of the shape of the FL coastline and the projected path alot more area would get the max winds

I thought hurricane Floyd might do this back in 1999(?) but it turned east of FL


The Euro and GFS models are in excellent agreement which is very rare..with the due north turn..EURO is a tad more east and the better scenario since the front eye would stay just offshore

the NWS will be launching weather balloons every 6 hours instead of 12 hours over much of the plains and midwest to get more data from the upstream stations.
Also, NOAA will be flying missions to collect data around the hurricane and west of it. This extra data will be put into the models

of course the USAF will have the HH aircraft in there too


18 posted on 09/04/2017 2:13:05 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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