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To: NautiNurse; Lera

Nurse, check out the latest spaghetti and ensemble models. The way I see them, they may show Irma turning north earlier than previously predicted, and Florida may avoid a direct hit. Do you see this as well?


1,304 posted on 09/06/2017 6:13:00 AM PDT by SkyPilot ("I am the way and the truth and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me." John 14:6)
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To: SkyPilot
Here's those models...what's most curious is that the Hurricane Center is now looking like the 'outlier' - the furthest west. If these models are repeated at noon, look for the official track to move strongly east.


1,306 posted on 09/06/2017 6:16:36 AM PDT by alancarp (George Orwell was an optimist.)
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To: SkyPilot
The models have been trending with a turn north further east than two days ago. However, most all of the FL peninsula remains in the cone of uncertainty. With the size and strength of this storm, best to follow local emergency management statements and NHC.

Never use a run of forecast models to make decisions concerning life and property.

1,308 posted on 09/06/2017 6:22:29 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Tear down the Mexican Carrier plant and use the materials to build the wall)
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