Current GFS has Irma at 132 hours as an 891 mb storm going into the very tip of South Florida and then working NNE. Worst-case scenario, let’s hope the actual course shifts.
This is a Sunday landfall in FL?
The models have shifted quite a bit since this morning. Let’s hope they keep moving east.
amen.
Irma has increased in intensity and wind speed and has been upgraded to Category three.
Previous models were calling for the 'Bermuda High' to remain stationary, but, it has moved to the east, and has less impact on the storm than expected.
A cold wave and the 'jet stream' from the north will have less impact than expected.
Therefore, the hurricane has traveled further westerly than the models expected, as calculated a few days ago.
* Prior to 6:00 PM, Gov. Scott of Florida has declared a "State of Emergency' exists in Florida.
* Tentative landfall may occur at Florida Keys on Saturday, baring any further changes, as a category #5 hurricane.
"Harvey" struck Texas as a category #2 hurricane, but meandered and wandered, and lingered when it dumped much of its 50 inches of rain ( just as a reminder).