Bunch of places under new ME orders. COE saw this coming and prepped the elevation maps and orders in advance.
Issued said orders last night, not to be executed until daylight. That sort of confidence tells me they have everything up till now projected by computer, on an ongoing basis, and currently feel they are ahead of the curve in advance awareness.
Hydrological curves, runoff versus absorption, inflow versus outflow, retention volumes, and flow channel dynamics, depth and velocity, were well understood concepts back in my civil engineering student days, well before the computer revolution. These days, assuming they haven’t lost access to their computers during the Evac noted by NN, they should be able to plot a 90 day future, within hours of receiving a given rainfall estimate.
They have a solid idea of what they expect...and,also what they cannot know in advance...like gate failure, or an embankment penetration.
They aren’t about to stampede millions with an uncontrolled release of information. They will be working w top officials to set the stage for moving however many people need to be moved...thru the environmental “static” of road closures already in play, and interdepartmental comms snafus surrounding any unprecedented mass evac.
I’m not sure yet how we would...receive...advance notice of any such occurrance. There WOULD be leaks, and puzzle pieces exposed, but recognizing them as such, and predicting where to look for them, is something I’ve just begun to consider.
They are doing very well! Still need a ton of prayers!
Originally, Addicks was set for release at 0200 this morning. Per Lindner, Barker would be "in another day or two." It appears they released both dams overnight.
I think of engineers as being very competent and want your assessment to be accurate.
As to leaks, the guys out there on the scene- various storm chasers maybe and guys doing “citizen journalism” are one possibility (I don’t mean tinfoil coneheads who probably already have YouTubes up about secret cloud seeding).