I jogged over to the RRH Elections Blog. A poster there claims the early numbers for Quist are trailing the numbers for Steve Bullock (the Dem governor that only very narrowly beat Ginaforte in 2016 for a second term).
AP has Ginaforte blowing it out in Yellowstone County 56%-37% with about half that county in. In 2016 Ginaforte only won it 49%-48%. Either Dem precints in that county are largely out or Ginaforte is doing hugely better there this time.
I don’t expect Gianforte to lose, last minute attempts by the Demmedia machine to destroy him not withstanding.
Gianforte up by just under 3% with 29% in. Thinking rural areas put him at 6-7%.