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I've gathered monthly precipitation and lake elevation data for the past ten years. If dated photographs of the dam can be obtained it may help determine whether it is precipitation or raised lake elevations which most closely correlate with appearance and size of the green area.
                                        Precipitation

       Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec
2007   0.0   5.7   0.4   1.7   0.6   0.5   0.4   0.0   0.3   1.3   0.8   4.1
2008   4.5   3.6   0.2   0.3   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   1.8   2.5   2.7
2009   2.2   6.6   2.1   0.4   1.9   0.2   0.0   0.0   0.6   1.7   1.4   3.8
2010   8.0   3.1   2.3   4.5   1.4   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   2.6   2.6   7.2   
2011   1.8   4.1   6.9   0.6   2.7   1.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   2.1   1.6   0.3
2012   4.4   1.1   5.8   2.2   0.0   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   1.4   4.4   7.2
2013   0.7   0.5   2.0   0.8   0.3   0.6   0.0   0.0   0.8   0.1   1.5   0.3 
2014   0.4   6.1   5.2   0.3   0.3   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.7   1.2   2.6   8.9
2015   0.1   2.5   0.4   1.5   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.2   2.7   2.9 
2016   7.2   0.7   6.8   1.1   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   3.2   2.2   5.5
2017   7.5   8.6   2.9   3.0   

precip inches rounded to tenths

https://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KOVE


                                   Avg Elev Lake Oroville

       Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec
2007   850   858   866   871   866   852   818   782   748   730   713   699
2008   703   716   737   753   757   748   718   693   680   675   667   661
2009   661   679   758   787   804   799   760   724   712   708   695   674
2010   675   704   732   769   813   838   833   803   770   754   749   767
2011   811   830   854   869   888   897   899   892   876   860   853   838
2012   827   830   840   875   898   891   860   819   789   770   762   812
2013   834   848   857   868   859   842   813   777   751   741   724   711
2014   703   711   739   765   764   745   714   688   677   668   651   686
2015   719   744   760   763   748   729   702   679   673   670   658   656
2016   690   754   829   881   890   875   836   787   753   738   733   755
2017   834   861   851                           

lake elevation rounded to feet

https://cdec.water.ca.gov/cgi-progs/queryMM

Station ID   ORO      Sensor Number   6       Date    04/17       Span   144


3,549 posted on 05/05/2017 9:37:20 PM PDT by Ray76 (DRAIN THE SWAMP)
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To: Ray76

Ray76’s data shows there was a 3 month period ending in August 2011 when the lake level stayed above 891’, within 10’ of topping out. This contrasts with 2017, when the lake was above 891’ for just 4 days, and has averaged closer to 850’.

Hence, there was more elevation head on the dam for a longer period in 2011 than so far in 2017. Yet the green area (apparently, as assessed by locals) is larger now than in 2011. Had this green area had stayed “green” through August 2011, correlating with the high lake levels on the opposite side of the dam, someone would have noticed and taken pictures, as you don’t get green grass in California in the summer without irrigation.

This indicates that either the internal piping through the dam has gotten much worse recently, passing a higher flow rate now under less head; or this green area is not a function of lake level, but more of a function of the extent and duration of precipitation.


3,553 posted on 05/06/2017 2:03:23 PM PDT by jpal
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