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To: PerConPat

Well I don’t trust Ras period. It seems as though they did this before the last debate. He was up above 50, like 53, and then the next poll it was 44. But needless to say, October 1st seems like it was a million years ago and only Trump could whether that storm.


17 posted on 10/22/2020 12:55:39 PM PDT by wareagle7295
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To: wareagle7295
That's two of us...Each new day will bring lots of twists...I distrust all polling; but Rassmussen, even with management changes, seems to be conscious of the tendency of "likely" Trump voters to not state their voting intentions and factors this into their polling. They were close to the mark in 2016.

Gallup's polling accuracy, good or bad, doesn't seem to factor into the overall picture of their reelection data since 1948 that shows the importance of a POTUS job approval rating of 50% or greater for reelection. Presidential job approval ratings are the only polling data that I usually pay any attention to.

19 posted on 10/22/2020 1:24:17 PM PDT by PerConPat (A politician is an animal that can sit on a fence and yet keep both ears to the ground--Mencken)
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