Posted on 11/30/2016 12:04:53 PM PST by Kaslin
John Judis and Ruy Teixeira published a bestselling book, The Emerging Democratic Majority, in 2002. Judis hailed the continuing validity of their thesis in an Atlantic article published in November 2012. Other authors, such as Democrat pollster Stanley Greenberg and National Review’s chief political correspondent Tim Alberta, have taken up the drumbeat.
The gist of this argument is that a combination of demographic changes to American society and key socioeconomic developments are making it likely that the future will belong to the Democratic Party. Among the demographic changes is the assertion that groups especially likely to vote Democrat – African Americans, Hispanics, and other minorities – will be a larger slice of the American electorate in the future, while groups more inclined to back the GOP – especially older, heterosexual white people – will be a smaller portion of the voting-age population.
Other changes in America include the decline of marriage and especially the entry of more women into the workforce; each of these allegedly works to the advantage of the Democrats. Add to this the entry into the electorate of the Millennial birth cohort – or people born in 1982 or later. These people are reported to be much more likely to identify with or lean toward the Democrats than the Republicans. Contrast them to America’s so-called “Silent Generation,” who are now in their early-to-late 70s, and considerably more inclined to identify with or lean to the GOP.
Voila, so the argument goes, the future looks rosier for the Democrats than for the Republicans.
Before proceeding, let’s acknowledge that the future may belong to the Democratic Party, for the reasons usually given.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
I hope so.
Welllll,they are a super majority in California..Only 56 states to go ,according to Obama....
Hillary would have won if she made Bernie VP and kept all his promises. Kaine was not a factor.
Even if she makes it to 2020 (and frankly given her health, I have my doubts) the Dems are NOT going to nominate Hillary again.
All of the finger-pointing and bloodletting has just begun. Prized parts of their coalition are convinced that they lost because they didn’t nominate Bernie. Her ethical baggage and her many screw-ups will now be talked about openly and brutally in Democrat circles. The new Socialist Advance Guard will be declaring war on the Clintonistas.
She may in her heart wish for another shot at the brass ring. But she ain’t getting it.
Trump would have won Virginia if McAuliffe had not restored the vote to felons. She won by the approximate number of felons who had their vote restored.
This is what the Democrat party is working towards??
Enforce existing immigration laws and clean up the vote process and we stop the loss of territory.
The long term trend is with the Democrats unfortunately. We lucked out with this election. Trump was a wild card and Hillary was a lousy candidate.
Jews still vote heavily Democratic and they have long been assimilated.
Hispanics will not have the upward mobility in the main that say Cubans have, because we’re absorbing the bottom of the Hispanic population with the illegals. Their cognitive abilities will keep the majority in the lower economic class for generations. Third generation illegals still have not moved up.
Blacks will still be where they are and vote how they vote for generations to come.
There’s hope for Asians, both East and West, but that’s about it.
The Democratic strategy will work long term.
I thought only 60,000 had their “rights” restored. She won by over 190k IIRC.
That conclusion immediately heads to hell.
We can’t earn it, we can never earn it. The idea that anybody could earn anything (except God) was the folly of the Garden.
We can only accept God personally by love. In other terms that would be a revival. God, who looks forward infallibly, has perhaps already seen it.
“We’re losing territory.”
And Texas consistently voted democrat for years. Now the state votes reliably Republican.
Republicans control 33 states. Rats control 11.
Try not to be a defeatist and loose perspective.
As did more Republicans get into state government.
However, the GOP is changing.
If Sanders was the Dem candidate, Trump would have lost.
Very good point.
Good piece, but he misses a few things:
1) The Democrat Party has moved FAR LEFT (think about it, defending the ‘right’ of perverts to hang around in girls’ bathrooms and girls’ locker rooms). This not only further polarizes white voters, it starts affecting blacks and Hispanic voters too.
2) Increasing gun ownership - transcends race, if a person legally owns a gun, they probably don’t want the government taking it (or making it useless). Of course the Republicans have to be VERY CLEAR both where they stand and where the Democrats stand on the issue.
3) Race Baiting - Obama’s pure RACISM that he showed in office has quickly driven whites towards the Republican Party...and whites are still 70% of the voting electorate. The only thing that made it close this year was Trump running as the Republican, and even then he was able to win DESPITE half of the Republican leaders pitted against him. About 60% of whites voted Republican in this election...next time it may be 65% to 70%. At those numbers, and with Hispanics virtually up for grabs (see below), the Dems are DOOMED.
4) Hispanics and Asians. What is an Hispanic? According to the US Census if you have one great grandparent that is Hispanic, you’re classified as Hispanic (same for Asians). Related to that, and a REALLY BIG ONE for both Hispanics and Asians, is intermarriage. Both groups are quickly integrating, particularly Asian women (as white guys that don’t want to deal with divorces and child custody battles are drawn to them). It is easy to say ‘Hispanics’ are a core group for the Dems, but when the they vote 40-45% REPUBLICAN as they did in the 2014 elections throughout the South, they’re not providing the Dems very much help (and note, there was NO PANDERING in the South to Hispanics, not in 2014).
5) Securing the vote. Get rid of Illegals voting, Dems proxy voting for no-shows, felons voting, people multiple-voting, and the Dems are in HUGE TROUBLE. Even the media knows it’s happening as we could tell by the knee-jerk, defensive, reaction when Trump said 3,000,000 people voted illegally. The media is, indirectly, claiming that illegal voting doesn’t happen - which of course it does, but once that little fact is out of the bag, investigations may well begin. And guess what, it won’t be 3,000,000, it will only be 600,000 (my guess) and the media will make fun of Trump...all the while with Americans wondering why the hell we allow 600,000 illegal votes to be cast.
IF Trump succeeds and does what he says he will solidify PA, Mi, WI, Iowa, and Ohio.
CO and NV can be won again as well.
I feel confident that we have picked up WV and Iowa for the foreseeable future, and we have made Ohio very tough for Dems.
If we continue to build on our momentum in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Minnesota, it will take the Dems a couple of decades (minimum) to offset those states.
Even better, if the Hispanic and Asian vote drifts towards us over time as the immigrant vote historically has, then we could indeed be looking at a very long-term GOP majority.
“Exactly. Throwing open the borders and exporting jobs is electoral suicide.”
Correction: Donald John Trump MADE it electoral suicide.
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