Nate Silver, I read 538.com. I give him credit, he manned up and said he got it all wrong. Unlike the children in the Democrat party we accept apologies and move on. But....his reputation is gone forever. We all knew he was wrong, but he insisted on spouting propaganda. You are forgiven Nate of course, but we’ll never be friends. :-)
He got it wrong, but the thing about Silver is that he was getting screamed at by liberals for suggesting he had a 35% chance and saying that he could not trust some of the polling data.
If you read Silver’s final forecast, this outcome was one of his reasonably conceivable scenarios, and he was not at all happy with what looked to be poll herding, and this particular scenario was the most likely result if herding was happening.
At the moment, Trump is trailing in the popular vote, at least as it has been reported. PA, Florida, Michigan, Wisconsin and New Hampshire are all close enough that a pollster with completely accurate poll reports should have rated them coin tosses—Trump won four of the five, and lost only the smallest one.
It was a near-run thing. Silver has admitted many times that he has messed up with Trump in various ways. In his last week, he was giving Trump about 30% chance of pulling it off, and a 10% chance of doing so while loosing the popular vote. These are higher percentages than most prognosticators.
There it is. Forgiving is not the hard part, I can do that. Forgetting? Well, that’s a whole ‘nother question...