[NImerc]

Are we being trolled?? NYT giving him a 73% chance now

[Radio Free Tuscaloosa]

Are we being trolled?? NYT giving him a 73% chance now

As we used to say in high school baseball (many years ago)..."Don't bag the bats until the last out is made."

[plain talk]

Are we being trolled?? NYT giving him a 73% chance now

I was wondering the same thing. How does their forecast model work and does it weight it based on how much of the big city data has come in? It seems odd to consistently project Trump winning ECs but losing popular vote

[LouieFisk]

“Are we being trolled?? NYT giving him a 73% chance now”
==
I think the NYT “guess” is automated so it swings with each new bit of vote info, i.e. not very reliable.

Nate Silver on Twitter (ooops, change of plans!):
“13 minutes ago
OK, change of plans: We’re designating Michigan as “too close to call”, resetting odds to 50/50 there. Clinton EC odds way down as a result.”