Trump within 4 of 270 on RCP no Tossup Map

Real Clear Politics ^ | // | Real Clear Politics

[LS]

Hearing really good stuff out of WI. Apparently all the red counties are well up, Milwaukee significantly down.

[Undecided 2012]

IMO, if Trump gets 1 or more conservatives to the SC I’m good. Anything after that can not possibly be any worse than what Obama has done both internationally, domestically or his immigration.
I would hope the 2 houses remain R, we as a people may have to drag them our way kicking and screaming but so be it.

[jackmercer]

I wish Florida were so but the early voting demographics look bad in Nevada and Florida.

Here’s my final prediction. Notice we still have the House and the Senate is too tight for them to do anything radical over the next two years. We’ll be ok. Just have to wait it out.

These final numbers are based on my 2012 model which relies heavily on the 2010 census data and demographic trends since 2000.

Clinton will win by 5.5%. She will get 322 EV to Trump’s 216 EV.

Trump States:

Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine District 2, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, West Virginia and Wyoming.

Clinton States:

California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine (minus district 2), Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia, Washington and Wisconsin.

Senate: 51 Dems 49 Republicans

House: Democrats gain 14 seats but Republicans retain majority of 235 to Democrats 200

[HokieMom]

John Whitbeck ‏@JohnWhitbeck 2h2 hours ago
Just kicked off town hall with @IvankaTrump "my father is a very 'candid' person" #MAGA @VA_GOP @LoudounGOP

Ivanka campaigned in two swing counties today: Loudoun and Prince William and Trump was in Loudoun at midnight for an hour-long rally last night. People have been working the ground game. Pence was here a few nights ago and had overflow crowd at the venue they reserved at GMU. Pence's bus was driving all down in the red part of the commonwealth, too. Pence attended a large megachurch near Tysons Corner Sunday morning. Not campaigning -- just to attend church.

Keep the faith! With the Lord's help, Virginia might be one of the surprises tomorrow!

[ez]

269 and a faithless elector gives it to Trump lol.

[Angels27]

“as it stands right now, do we need one or more of those states?...NH/MI/PA/VA?”

If Trump gets all the Romney states plus FL, OH and IA that puts him at 259 EV’s......So PA (20), MI (16) or VA (13) by them self puts Trump over 270. Or if he can get CO (9) and NV (6) that will put him over as well.

[Senator Goldwater]

Trump can get to 272 if he carries Romney states plus NH, Maine-2, NV, FL, NC, OH and IA.

That means he can lose VA, PA, MI, CO and NM and STILL WIN!!!

[dp0622]

You’ve been a HUGE help and hope lifter throughout this whole thing.

Thanks man.

[Biggirl]

Second it.

[Biggirl]

Thank-you for your excellent coverage which is a breath of needed fresh air.

[Yaelle]

I think it VERY significant that Cankles canceled her NYC fireworks, because she knows she’s lost already.

---

Whoa, I hadn’t heard that! Her fireworks plan made the mainßtream news, too.

[Jane Long]

Praying that Creepy, crooked McAuliff’s pardons don’t tip the election, in VA.

Praying for a blowout....that will blowout the witch and ALL of her minions.

[JediJones]

Brexit Victory Map

[Yaelle]

CA for senate we have only Ds. Each one is almost as smart as Boxer.

[JediJones]

It wasn’t a lost cause. Then the felons voted for their fellow Crooked.

[Jane Long]

Excellent!!!!

[Georgia Girl 2]

I still say Trump takes CO.

[Ravi]

Here’s some data to confirm Wisconsin optimism.

http://www.wisconsinrapidstribune.com/story/news/2016/11/07/early-voting-spikes-late-gop-suburbs/93420588/

[comebacknewt]

I also want to thank you for sharing your insights again this year.

Hoping the Trump team is on the money with their polling!!

[cgbg]

I think you need to view the Michael Moore video on the F.U. belt.

That is where the election will be decided—PA, MI, WI.

Hillary signed trade agreements that sent their jobs overseas. They are ultra-ticked and they will vote for Trump.