[jpl]

The 6% claiming that they support Gary Johnson (which I personally don't buy) and the 5% not sure tells me that it can very easily go either way.

The general public pretty clearly doesn't love either of them, which we have known for some time.

[justlurking]

The 6% claiming that they support Gary Johnson (which I personally don't buy) and the 5% not sure tells me that it can very easily go either way.

I think most of the third-party votes are in the deep blue or red states where it wouldn't make any difference if they voted for Trump or Clinton instead.

My state usually has a higher proportion of third party votes than the US, nationally. That's because it's deep red, and voters feel they can safely cast a "protest" vote.

I don't think rational voters will do so in a battleground state.

After this election, I'm going to look at the close states and see if third-party voters could have changed the result. I don't expect to find any.

[unlearner]

I’ve been saying for over a year that turnout will determine this election.

Most Trump voters are DETERMINED to vote for Trump. A large part of Hillary’s base are merely LEANS for her or PREFER her. A lot of these folks are not motivated to show up at all. And people rarely vote simply to vote AGAINST someone. But when they do in this election, I think more people will vote against Hillary than Trump.

Tomorrow will simply show whether voter fraud can beat a huge enthusiasm gap. I am expecting it is a chasm too big for the fraudsters to cross.

One more day. Go Trump!