If this poll is right as it was in 2012 then its going to be a good night Nov 8th. The good trends I see is that Trump is closing the hispanic gap and the woman gap while surging higher with men. Those criticizing this poll don’t understand the science of polling. The important thing is having representative samples of the electorate. It doesn’t matter if you constantly change the members of the sample or not. Polls in the wild have big problems. Its increasingly hard to get respondents and its easy to get very skewed samples on occasion plus when you throw in human interviews and push poll questions as nearly all the major network polls do you tend to inject bias into the poll. The LaTimes poll isn’t like polls in the wild because it isn’t calling random people unannounced interrupting their lives and it has a population of nearly 3000 respondents.
Now the critics could argue that the sample is wrong and it could very well be and the weighting could be wrong but we won’t know that till election day. Last time this methodology worked very well and did a far better job of predicting Obama’s margin of victory.
https://alpdata.rand.org/?page=election2012#election-forecast
Add to this the fact that the LA Times big wigs probably HATE THE RESULTS of their own poll....but are still publishing these results.
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