Great news in the tabs. The voter ID in the sample is 40D 40R 19I. I think that weighting may be shorting Independents a bit, but if you use IBD/TIPP’s raw sample party ID for the entire tracking poll period 10/18-11/3 (2752 respondents at 32.01%D 34.66%R 31.5%I) and reweight the fox poll, Trump is up 43.656% to 40.21%.
Similar re-weight on IBD gives Trump a 49.78% to 42.74% lead, and would have similar results in the rasmussen poll. IBD has been secret saucing their sample the entire time, when the raw RANDOM sample they have been getting day after day reflects an R+2 electorate.
Wow, great stuff...
The weighting I used to never look at until I think after the first debate when others started mentioning over sampling.
I really hope it comes back to bite them...
Sounds good to me. I quit doing polls a long time ago.
I think Team Trump is thrilled with where they are.