The early indicator is New Hampshire. If Clinton takes it then she probably wins. If she doesn’t then it’s going to be a long night for her.
I don’t think so. Trump probably has a better chance of winning CO than NH and he has an unusually good chance at PA. Luzerne county flipped big for him a long time ago and is solid Trump country. Bush was within 2.5 points in PA in 2004, but he lost Luzerne. Luzerne has gone Dem since 1992. Trump is changing the map in PA. Don’t know if it’ll be enough but it’s significant.