Virginia is a real sleeper. If African-American turnout returns to historical average, the state is ripe for Trump.
GOP voters have tended in recent elections to break late for the Repub candidate, allowing that candidate to outperform polling. As such, Virginia is very much in play.
The Hampton University Center for Public Policy (CPP) poll out on Wednesday afternoon shows that Trump has taken a three-point lead over Clinton in the Old Dominion, inside the poll’s margin of error of 4.57 percent. The survey of 802 Virginians, taken from Oct. 26 through Oct. 30—meaning it was conducted both before and after the FBI announced its reopening of the criminal investigation into Hillary Clinton’s illicit home brew email server—found Trump at 44 percent and Clinton at 41 percent.
Trump is actually ahead by 3 in Virginia in the Hampton U poll today.
My “shock” guess would be that Trump wins Michigan. He won the primary there by a wide margin and Sanders, who was predicted to lose by 20 points to Clinton, won by 2 or 3 in the Michigan Demo primary.
Virginia is a real sleeper. If African-American turnout returns to historical average, the state is ripe for Trump.
Problem is that Nova is a cancer. Just gets bigger and bigger every 4 years.