http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-senate-forecast
Showing Trump behind by 0.7% in NC. This poll, to the extent that it is a representative sample, is quite significant. My impression, admittedly with incomplete information, is that the poll accurately reflects reality far better than fivethirtyeight.com does.
Nate Silver has been outed as a hack and after his ties with the NYT have been exposed. He’s the John Zogby of 2016. Look up Zogby, the darling of polling in the 1990’s, till he wasn’t. Hell looks like Nate won’t even get the World Series right, he has the Cubs in 5 games. I’m actually rooting against the Cubs, their fans are insufferable jerks.
538 doesn’t have this poll in yet but early voting suggests 6-8% win