“Yes it is - but does it take into account the Philadelphia voter fraud that we know is coming?”
Please share with us the name of the polling outfit that does take voter fraud into account. I’m interested in seeing their methodology. Oh wait, none of them do.
Vote Trump 2016
Of course, none of the polling outfits include estimates of the voter fraud factors. But, that defrauded “vote” is out there too. It just means that Donald Trump needs to win big league in PA as in my state of NC and in all other states in order to overcome what we KNOW will be huge voter fraud attempts.
He can do it! Vote Trump!
Actually, they do. They take into account the 2008 and 2012 voting patterns relative to how polling went in those years, and use them to try to predict 2016. So vote fraud is already effectively factored in.
If the Dems decide that it's a lost cause, and don't spend the money needed to generate the required level of fraud, then Trump will win. There will be only two scenarios: Trump loses narrowly (with the margin being fraud) or Trump wins well beyond poll predictions (because the factored-in fraud didn't happen)