Read the unweighted results. Party id is 332R 323D and 303I yet they reweighted it to D+7. This has been consistent throughout the polling period. Data is telling them that the electorate will be even yet they are reweighting it to D+7.
I’m sorry...I must be stupid. Why wouldn’t they just run the poll at a D+7 instead of reweighting it?
Are they assuming a D turnout for Clinton approximating the magnitude of the D turnout for Obama? And R turnout for Trump similar to the R turnout for McCain and Romney? Because I might be the dumbest guy in the room, but I can tell you that ain't gonna happen.
Election breakdown will likely match real part affiliation breakdown which is 28R 32D and 40I nationally. If they didn’t reweight to this they are using unlikely assumptions