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To: woweeitsme; usafa92
-- Why wouldn't they just run the poll at a D+7 instead of reweighting it? --

Supposedly, there is no way to know, ahead of time, that the sample taken reflects the expected turnout. So they "assume" a turnout model, and weight the sample according to what they claim is the expected turnout.

Weighting also introduces another assumption, that the DEM vote will be 100% Crooked, and the R vote will be 100% Trump.

22 posted on 10/28/2016 4:16:07 AM PDT by Cboldt
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To: Cboldt

No weighting doesn’t assume all d go hill and all r go trump. They weight it based on the results they have. So if results are d are 90% Hillary and 10% trump they reweight using those numbers


29 posted on 10/28/2016 4:40:04 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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