[Sooth2222]

"Results based on survey of 973 likely voters conducted from 10/22 - 10/27. Margin of error: +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party identification breakdown: (Unweighted) 323 Democrats/332 Republicans/303 Independents; (Weighted) 351/287/308. Results in table above are based on weighted sample. IBD's polling partner TechnoMetrica uses "traditional" telephone methodology using live interviewers for data collection for its public opinion surveys. Roughly 65% of interviews come from a cell phone sample and 35% from a Random Digit Dial (RDD) land line sample."

No polling expert but 332 -> 287 (13.6%) seems an awfully heavy Republican un-weight. Are they assuming 2008 and 2012 D-R-I voter turnout?

Live interviewers would incorporate an assumption of no "Trump Effect", too. (Do like the fact that they call 65% cell phones but even if this is one of the very best polls, I can see some problems with it.)

[KavMan]

Bill Mitchell ‏@mitchellvii 2m2 minutes ago IBD has decided to move back to the "safety of the pack" by destroying their crosstabs with ridiculous numbers. 5% w/ blacks? Come on. ============================================================ Bill Mitchell ‏@mitchellvii 37m37 minutes ago Bill Mitchell Retweeted Ned Flanders Yes, IBD has clearly jacked their crosstabs to help Hillary. From 10 down to 1 in South and 15 down to 5 w/ blacks in mere days? Bullsh*t. ============================================================ Bill Mitchell ‏@mitchellvii 49m49 minutes ago When a poll says it's been "reweighted" that means, our data doesn't meet our agenda so we "fixed" it for you.

[BlueStateRightist]

Most polling outfits are assuming the Crook does as well or better than 2012 Obama turnout. They are not buying into any concept of Trump monster vote or lack of enthusiasm on Dem side. In fact, they seem to be going with a concept that NeverTrumpsters are shifting the turnout against Trump relative to her lack of enthusiastic support. All assumptions that are hard to substantiate.

[Ikemeister]

They are assuming big dem turnout.