AP “In Florida, a perennial battleground, Democrats have drawn even to Republicans in votes cast, reaching that milestone faster than in 2012. Traditionally, Republicans do well initially with mail-in ballots. But Democrats were able to keep it close, putting Clinton in position to run up the score during in-person voting.”
Run it up? Latest in-person voting poll had Trump up 50-36. Clowns
Lets see if DEMs beat their 2012 combined lead of 168,000 by election day. I’m guessing they don’t.
Remember, REPs win on election day. DEMs need to run up the score with in-person voting. We will know soon enough.
Polls show Trump winning independents by a larger margin than Romney won in Florida. Romney won indys by 5%. Trump will likely do closer to 10%.
AP is playing fast and loose with Simpson’s paradox. While mail-ins have favored Democratic, these came at the expense of early voting and then some. Democratic early voting has fallen off a cliff.
A R overall lead in total early voting after polls have been open for several days when Democrats led by 168K in Florida is a disaster for Hillary.