Posted on 10/27/2016 6:39:45 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Here are the RETURNED Florida Absentee Ballot numbers for 2016 (REPs led in this category by 79,000 in 2012). Approximately 49.4% of Absentee Ballots have been returned at this point.
53.0% of REP ballots, have been returned and 49.2% of DEM ballots have been returned.
10/27/16: REPs - 677,907, DEMs - 631,672 lead of 46,235 for REPs, 42.1% to 39.2%
10/26/16: REPs - 606,144, DEMs - 569,783 lead of 36,361 for REPs, 42.0% to 39.5%
10/25/16: REPs - 556,058, DEMs - 525,076 lead of 30,982 for REPs, 42.0% to 39.7%
10/24/16: REPs - 503,632, DEMs - 483,019 lead of 20,613 for REPs, 41.7% to 40.0%
10/23/16: REPs - 496,040, DEMs - 476,292 lead of 19,748 for REPs, 41.7% to 40.0%
For Hillsborough [battleground/swing county] (DEMs had a lead of 20,000 in 2012 early voting - that's absentee ballots plus in-person early voting):
10/27/16: REPs - 62,341, DEMs - 73,711, lead of 11,370 for DEMs <== Now reflects absentee + in-person early voting
10/26/16: REPs - 52,634, DEMs - 62,884, lead of 10,250 for DEMs <== Now reflects absentee + in-person early voting
10/25/16: REPs - 41,660, DEMs - 50,050, lead of 8,390 for DEMs <== Now reflects absentee + in-person early voting
10/24/16: REPs - 33,400, DEMs - 38,935, lead of 5,535 for DEMs
10/23/16: REPs - 31,163, DEMs - 36,362, lead of 5,199 for DEMs
The lead from you calculations will go a long way against the damage the Federal judge did.
TX ballots require postage or did in 2012.
wrong on so many levels. The next few lines refer to Early-In-Person voting otherwise known as EIP. EIP Voting advantage for Dems was ABSOLUTELY HUGE for them in 2012. Not this year. Over an 8 day period in 2012, the Dems amassed a 247,000 voter advantage from EIP voting. That averages to a daily advantage of 30,000 plus. They were running up the score on a daily basis in 2012. GOP had a marginal advantage of 74,000 with absentee ballots so in total DEMS went into election day with a 174,000 voter advantage. Yet Romney barely lost.
This year for EIP (which has lengthened to 13 or 14 days for most counties), the DEM daily advantage has dropped like a rock. Their advantage on day 1 was 24,000. Their advantage on day 2 was 6,000. Yesterday it was 4,000.
Well what’s changed? It appears GOP and unaffiliated voters are now also early voting like Dems always have. I noticed this pattern in 2014 when GOP also early voted significantly (not as much as the DEMS but close enough) and that probably helped save Scott in the governor’s race.
Also one small wildcard. A few GOP heavy counties do not start early voting until Saturday. Expect a further bounce in GOP voters starting Sunday. We will see how much that is and how it plays out. These counties are Hardee, Highlands, Pasco and Walton. Romney won all these counties.
Saw the same thing - an FAU poll I think - should well outstrip any early advantage for the ‘rats.....
I am a programmer, with 2 degrees. 100% american. We created the computer, and the internet. Get over yourself.
BFD. A Millenial geek who has no grasp of the English grammar. Have a stupid day.
Hate to crash your party .... I am not a Millenial. I got my first computer in 1976. Have a nice day. seems you get ticked about the smallest things.
I’m impressed! :-)
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.