I am a realist and it will be a tough fight, but things are looking good for Trump.
The MSM polls are closing (in part because they don’t want to be wrong as the election nears). The individual state polls are trending Trumps way. I think Trump will win NC, Iowa, Nevada, Florida and Ohio. He also will win one of Maine’s electoral votes, which puts him at 266. He needs to find a way to win one of PA, CO, NH, VA, MI, or WI.
I think they are being very smart about where they are sending Trump and Pence respectively. Trump plays better in the Rust Belt and the South. Today through Friday they have Trump going to North Carolina, Ohio, New Hampshire and Maine.
Pence plays very well in the upper Midwest and out West. He has events scheduled for Nevada, Utah (which may need some shoring up), Colorado, Nebraska (where one congressional district is not 100% guaranteed), Iowa, and Pennsylvania.
I think Trump has Texas.