Weren’t they telling us in 2014 Larry Hogan and Matt Bevin stood no chance of winning?
And here they’re telling us Trump is finished, its all over, Hillary can start packing her bags for the White House next year.
Not so fast. Let’s wait til the vote is counted.
Same old playbook:
Boston Globe Senate Poll: Coakley up 15 points
Democrat Martha Coakley, buoyed by her durable statewide popularity, enjoys a solid, 15-percentage-point lead over Republican rival Scott Brown as the race for US Senate enters the homestretch, according to a new Boston Globe poll of likely voters.
Scott Brown was elected a few days later beating Coakley by 5 points.
I read a new Nate Silver article saying polls have been more reliable overall since 2000 than they were in the past, but took a dip in reliability in the 2012 and 2014 elections. He said the shifting to cell phone usage is probably part of that. Polling technique has not caught up yet with how to deal with that.