Time will tell.. but I really really really don’t see how Hillary doesn’t lose big in the rust belt...
PA alone the numbers just don’t add up for her... even if she were to somehow miraculously get Obama/Kerry type of numbers.. I think Trump going to do better than that... and I just don’t see her able to get those kind of numbers.. her innate support and enthusiasm is nowhere... its nowhere near Obama was last cycle, and he was down HUGE from 08... and its certainly nowhere near the 2004 cycle where an unpopular war etc was motivating turnout.
R’s can put 2.7M votes in the box in PA with dogs like McCain and Romney and Bush in 2004 (yes he was very unpoular then here).. Trump should be blowing that turnout out of the water.. and other than the just flat out insanity of 2008, which was an even more UNPOPULAR George Bush driving the vote... Trump should easily be at (if not well above) 3M votes in the box... I just don’t see Hillary performing on par with Obama in 12 and Kerry in 8... I just don’t see it... I expect she’ll be closer to Gore in 2000.
Trump needs to visit Michigan. It might be play as well.