[sargon]

I don’t know what the polling there says, but YES, I think ever state in the rust belt, beyond IL and MN is absolutely in play for Trump... I am in PA.. and I can tell you I moved here in 86, and I have never seen the pure enthusiasm for an R here, ever, and it went Bush in 88.

Thanks for all the thoughtful analysis and good info for PA.

Sounds reasonable.

If Trump wins PA, he's definitely the next President.

Do you have any thoughts on Trump's chances in MI and WI? Or even VT and NH?

The Revolution is ON!

Vote Trump!

[HamiltonJay]

I have felt MI and WI are just as much a play for Trump from day one as PA... same macroeconomics... MI does have a different demographic breakdown.. but with Hillary’s pure lack of support, I think Trump can play there yes.

WI, I was worried the GOPe may have poisoned the general election with their attempts to stop trump there in the primaries.. but it doesn’t seem so. I don’t know what the polls are saying, but I’d expect Trump to play there as well.

I do expect Trump to take most of the rust belt.. MN and IL are the only two that I thought were out of reach... nothing I have seen has changed that assessment.