Florida Early Vote update, 10/25/2016

10/25/2016 | self

[SpeedyInTexas]

Here are the RETURNED Florida Absentee Ballot numbers for 2016 (REPs led in this category by 79,000 in 2012). Approximately 41.5% of Absentee Ballots have been returned at this point.

44.1% of REP ballots, have been returned and 41.7% of DEM ballots have been returned.

10/25/16: REPs - 556,058, DEMs - 525,076 lead of 30,982 for REPs, 42.0% to 39.7%

10/24/16: REPs - 503,632, DEMs - 483,019 lead of 20,613 for REPs, 41.7% to 40.0%

10/23/16: REPs - 496,040, DEMs - 476,292 lead of 19,748 for REPs, 41.7% to 40.0%

10/22/16: REPs - 463,959, DEMs - 443,502 lead of 20,457 for REPs, 41.8% to 40.0%

10/21/16: REPs - 416,778, DEMs - 399,434 lead of 17,344 for REPs, 41.8% to 40.0%

For Hillsborough [battleground/swing county] (DEMs had a lead of 20,000 in 2012 early voting - that's absentee ballots plus in-person early voting):

10/25/16: REPs - 41,660, DEMs - 50,050, lead of 8,390 for DEMs <== Now reflects absentee + in-person early voting

10/24/16: REPs - 33,400, DEMs - 38,935, lead of 5,535 for DEMs

10/23/16: REPs - 31,163, DEMs - 36,362, lead of 5,199 for DEMs

10/22/16: REPs - 31,163, DEMs - 36,362, lead of 5,199 for DEMs

10/21/16: REPs - 28,710, DEMs - 33,635, lead of 4,925 for DEMs

[Ravi]

To be precise in 2012 it was 42.9 DEM and 39.1 GOP. Sear those percentages in your memory and compare to this year.

http://www.electproject.org/2012_early_vote

Scroll down to Florida. Every decimal counts this election.

[right-wingin_It]

Two things:

1) Some counties have not submitted early voting stats yet.

2) I have a comparison of current FL In-Person Early voting ballot turnout to 2012:

- With this much of the total In-Person Early ballots in so far (291,449 ballots), compared to 2012 when first 298,637 In-Person Early Ballots were received, registered Republicans are now + 5.5%, Dems -6.3%, UNF/OTHER -85.6%!!!!

So the early vote is up for both Repubs and Dems (it took till Saturday in 2012 to have this much vote in), but as a ratio in 2016 with this much vote in, Republicans are doing waaaay better than Dems right now compared to 2012!!

Sources:
1) FL Secretary of State Website results as of today Oct 25 mid day, and
2) 2012 information of the early vote (through Saturday October 27, 2012, published at Miami Herald website on Oct, 28, 2012. here

[right-wingin_It]

I apologize — I made a mistake on the unaffiliated calculation. The Reps and Dems are correct. Republicans out performing Dems compared to 2012. I will recalculate the unaffiliated

[right-wingin_It]

CORRECED:

With this much of the total In-Person Early ballots in so far (291,449 ballots), compared to 2012 when first 298,637 In-Person Early Ballots were received:
registered Reps + 5.5%, Dems -6.3%, UNF/OTHER +7.1% !!!!

[SpeedyInTexas]

Please double check my math. I show

2012

DEM - 145k, REP - 106k, Ind/Other - 47k

2016

DEM - 133k, REP - 109k, Ind/Other - 49k

DEM down 8.2%, REP up 2.8%, Ind/Other up 4.2%

Correct?

[SpeedyInTexas]

We have different percentages.

For example, dems I have 145k vs 133.

12/145 = 8.2% down

Am I doing something wrong?