I get that. But in all my analysis sent to Team Trump I only give them what I can prove. We can’t prove D/R cossovers or Is voting R. Even with R ballots, I use a conservative 85% Trump vote estimate. That way, no one is unexpectedly disappointed.
I have no idea how Nevada will vote although even with the nevertrumpers in government I think Trump. I do expect very high voter turn out though, with questions #1 and #2 on the ballot.