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To: rb22982
Personally I think Hillary and her allies in the liberal media are making a big mistake in pushing this “Hillary is ahead by 10 points and the election is over narrative”. I assume the purpose is to discourage Trump voters and keep them home on election day, however I have a feeling just the opposite is happening, there are a lot of young people, minorities etc. they may hate Trump, but they also aren't that fond of Hillary, though they would probably vote for her to keep Trump from winning. However if they think the election is going to be a Hillary landslide, then they might feel their vote is not needed and they can safely either stay home or vote 3rd party.
23 posted on 10/23/2016 5:37:39 AM PDT by apillar
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To: apillar
Yup - agreed. They did the same thing in 1996 and Dole still lost by a lot but by nearly 10% less

From wikileaks 1996:

Some post-election debate focused on the alleged flaws in the pre-election polls, almost all of which overstated Clinton's lead over Dole, some by a substantial margin. For example, a CBS/New York Times poll overstated Clinton's lead by 10 points despite having an error margin of 2.4%. The odds against this sort of error occurring were 15,000:1.[27] A less extreme example was a Pew poll that overstated Clinton's lead by 5 points, the chances of this happening were 10:1 against.[27] Gerald Wasserman, having examined eight pre-election polls, argued that pure chance would produce such a skewed result in favor of Clinton only once in 4,900 elections.[28] However, because Clinton won the election by a comfortable margin,[29] there was no major reaction towards the inaccuracy of the polls.[29] The polls were also less inaccurate than the overwhelming majority of those taken in 1948,[29] which predicted that losing candidate Thomas Dewey would beat President Harry Truman by a comfortable margin,[29] and in 1980, which predicted that Reagan would win without a landslide victory.[29]"

24 posted on 10/23/2016 5:43:22 AM PDT by rb22982
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