As will Illinois. It boils down to the swing states - Ohio, Florida, and Pennsylvania. If the Democrats just take one of the three then they can take it all. The Republicans basically have to run the board and take all three to win. Or take Nevada and Colorado if they lose Pennsylvania.
I really wish Trump would give up on Pennsylvania. I remember McCain/Palin campaigning hard here and Ed Rendell nervously claiming Dems could lose the state. Of course they didn’t. Someone called PA fool’s gold for Republicans in presidential elections.
Even worse signs are how bad Pennsylvania has been for Republicans in mid-terms for statewide offices. They were one of the only states to boot out a GOP governor in the last mid-term. Toomey BARELY won his Senate seat in 2010. And remember both these mid-terms were HUGE victories nationally for Republicans.
Repubs haven’t won it since 1988. Even Bush Jr. couldn’t win it in 2004. I’d stop throwing Hail Marys and focus on NV and CO if I were Trump.