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To: rb22982

I think that’s based on an average though. Not a snapshot of what the polls said 2 weeks out. I don’t remember them being that far apart myself though.

But like you said, I think the ones showing a huge Clinton margin are the more questionable ones. They’re predicting something unusual if not unprecedented. They have the bigger burden of proof. Even Obama/McCain was a 7.2 victory margin. And that was with Obama being a fawned-over, beloved folk hero and McCain getting the entire market crash hung around his neck.


54 posted on 10/23/2016 3:59:02 AM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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To: JediJones

NO way she’s leading by 5 or 7


56 posted on 10/23/2016 4:04:16 AM PDT by Az Joe (Desu Hoc Vult!! The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time....)
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To: JediJones

Clinton is faking it as a strong poll leader right now. It’s all fake. She knows better!


57 posted on 10/23/2016 4:05:41 AM PDT by Az Joe (Desu Hoc Vult!! The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time....)
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To: JediJones

You can look at the history on RCP for 2012 - it was much tighter the entire time for polling results.


58 posted on 10/23/2016 4:09:28 AM PDT by rb22982
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