[rb22982]

IBD already takes their un-adjusted sample of D=R and moves it to D+7 which is slightly more than 2012 to end up with where and still ends up +2 Trump. I'd say the polls showing Clinton up 9-12% are the ones that really need to look at their methods especially since most have +D turnout of 10-18% - which is ridiculous. But they are all run by groups that hate Trump so they'll wait till the last minute to change

Besides those 3 polls, PPD's poll has closely mirrored the LA Times/Rasmussen poll as well (and now IBD) throughout this cycle so that's basically 4 polls showing the same thing.

[Az Joe]

I agree. I believe he race is between Trump by 1 or 2 and Clinton by 4. So maybe a Clinton 2 point lead...That is nothing.